Better late than never, right? The Oscars are only hours away, so I’m sharing my final predictions in the 24 categories and providing some commentary along the way. Some of these categories are no brainers, but I think there are some winners that may surprise people tonight. Here are my 2018 Oscar Winners Predictions:
Best Actress: Frances McDormand, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
Frances McDormand is a powerhouse in “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri,” as a grieving mother who forces her town to pay attention to her personal tragedy. She goes all in on this one, and I think the Academy will take note of that. I wouldn’t mind seeing a Margot Robbie upset for “I, Tonya,” because I think Robbie was equally remarkable in that film, but this is definitely McDormand’s to lose.
Best Actor: Gary Oldman, “Darkest Hour”
Even before the nominees were announced, virtually everyone had Gary Oldman pegged as the frontrunner for Best Actor, and deservedly so; he is the most interesting thing about “Darkest Hour,” and his performance is probably the most transformative out of anyone in this category. Personally, though, I would love to see Timothée Chalamet come in and steal this one for “Call Me by Your Name.” I doubt it will happen, because Oldman has won the other key awards up to this point, but a girl can dream.
Best Supporting Actress: Allison Janney, “I, Tonya”
Many people see this as a two-way race between Allison Janney and Laurie Metcalf, but its Janney who’s been winning all the awards. Her performance in “I, Tonya,” is completely unsympathetic, angry and completely deserving of the award. I wouldn’t be upset if Metcalf swoops in at the last minute, but because Janney has the momentum in her favor, she’s a pretty safe bet to take the statuette.
Best Supporting Actor: Sam Rockwell, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
The performances in “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” is what stands out about that film, and like McDormand, Sam Rockwell is all but a lock for this one. Say what you will about the implications of these characters’ arcs in Martin McDonagh’s film, but Sam Rockwell shows a lot of range with his role, and I expect he will win his first Oscar tonight.
Best Director: Guillermo del Toro, “The Shape of Water”
Virtually no other director has crept into the conversation this year. Guillermo del Toro has taken his unique style and translated it to something worthy of Oscar contention. While I didn’t love the film, I can hardly argue with del Toro earning the win. If there is an upset, it will be Christopher Nolan for “Dunkirk.” I wouldn’t be completely shocked if that happened, but I still think this is del Toro’s year.
Best Picture: “Get Out”
Whaaaaaaat? Yeah, I said it. I know everyone has “The Shape of Water” pegged for Best Picture, but you know what else had that kind of momentum going for it? “La La Land.” You know what didn’t win Best Picture last year? “La La Land” (Well, I guess it won for about 60 seconds, but that’s beside the point). Something in my gut is telling me that “The Shape of Water,” acclaimed as it may be, will not earn the top honor this year. I also don’t think the other frontrunner, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” will take the win either due to its somewhat divisive nature. I think that the Academy will go for the socially conscious film, the one that taps into the discrimination that exists within Hollywood and society at large — a year after it was released, no less. That movie is “Get Out.”
Best Original Screenplay: “Get Out”
Best Adapted Screenplay: “Call Me by Your Name”
Best Cinematography: “Blade Runner 2049”
Best Animated Feature: “Coco”
Best Animated Short: “Dear Basketball”
Best Documentary: “Faces Places”
Best Documentary Short: “Heroin(e)”
Best Short Film (Live Action): “Dekalb Elementary”
Best Foreign Language Film: “A Fantastic Woman”
Best Editing: “Dunkirk”
Best Sound Editing: “Dunkirk”
Best Sound Mixing: “Dunkirk”
Best Visual Effects: “War for the Planet of the Apes”
Best Production Design: “The Shape of Water”
Best Costume Design: “Phantom Thread”
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: “Darkest Hour”
Best Original Score: “The Shape of Water”
Best Original Song: “Remember Me” (“Coco”)